Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1377.731754 1513.369253 1651.753353 1803.222187 1964.068839 2129.504349 2312.243697
2025-04-27 1174.468527 1375.556732 1589.505154 1832.941882 2101.109027 2386.403980 2711.751618
2025-05-04 1028.500592 1265.597717 1525.995656 1830.837810 2175.549598 2550.984366 2988.483408
2025-05-11 910.811759 1170.933439 1464.654408 1816.952533 2224.112141 2676.146012 3212.129489
2025-05-18 830.383920 1109.856777 1433.199104 1829.189991 2295.334995 2821.144380 3453.504992
2025-05-25 751.023628 1042.501507 1387.718308 1818.892355 2335.184603 2926.086016 3645.886468
2025-06-01 698.738725 1003.426032 1371.860892 1839.990998 2408.806951 3067.894874 3879.423433
2025-06-08 635.377090 945.482187 1328.629250 1824.035095 2434.922675 3151.476985 4043.129265
2025-06-15 605.718601 928.313789 1333.994710 1865.994205 2529.755054 3315.885253 4302.227606
2025-06-22 563.970717 892.188062 1312.783465 1872.585780 2579.608407 3425.339906 4495.446789
2025-06-29 521.627610 852.343254 1284.277114 1867.725076 2613.509381 3514.288380 4663.374487
2025-07-06 463.894260 787.487164 1219.597515 1813.266025 2582.510671 3521.778659 4730.882889
2025-07-13 454.131308 790.248291 1245.529356 1877.793564 2704.069881 3719.815457 5034.711952
2025-07-20 433.202235 775.613168 1247.026106 1909.678991 2783.967261 3866.823085 5277.284225
2025-07-27 402.390545 744.393123 1224.033043 1907.486552 2818.823667 3956.934209 5449.436077
2025-08-03 370.210539 708.948448 1193.291107 1893.200535 2836.626672 4024.707504 5593.380314
2025-08-10 348.913038 688.775473 1182.977080 1905.791722 2889.088459 4136.146427 5792.111209
2025-08-17 322.393841 658.616226 1156.805360 1895.196467 2909.812387 4206.465670 5938.905489
2025-08-24 306.941574 645.198770 1154.233595 1916.904341 2973.399735 4331.868326 6155.811234
2025-08-31 282.330920 615.064336 1125.507713 1900.487906 2984.633152 4388.983459 6285.636161
2025-09-07 274.815013 613.114644 1138.723775 1943.655443 3076.879822 4551.788622 6551.235084
2025-09-14 258.716644 595.384228 1127.102207 1950.436090 3118.954654 4648.937307 6732.865252
2025-09-21 240.904253 573.427667 1107.957084 1945.435982 3144.189898 4723.652312 6885.608083